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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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El cisne negro: El impacto de lo altamente improbable Mass Market Paperback – September 4, 2012

Spanish Edition by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Author), Roc Filella Montfort (Translator)
4.5 4.5 out of 5 stars 1,010 ratings
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Un «cisne negro» es un hecho improbable, cuyas consecuencias son importantes y todas las explicaciones que se puedan ofrecer a posteriori no tienen en cuenta el azar y sólo buscan encajar lo imprevisible en un modelo perfecto. El éxito de Google y YouTube, y hasta el 11-S, son «cisnes negros». Con ironía, irreverencia y un profundo conocimiento de los caprichos del mundo real, Taleb nos conduce por los deliciosos vericuetos de lo improbable.

Previous page
  1. Book 1 of 4
    Incerto
  2. Print length
    592 pages
  3. Language
    Spanish
  4. Publisher
    Booket
  5. Publication date
    September 4, 2012
  6. Dimensions
    4.92 x 1.18 x 7.48 inches
  7. ISBN-10
    8408008544
  8. ISBN-13
    978-8408008545
  9. See all details
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Book Description

¿Qué es un «cisne negro»? Un hecho improbable, impredecible y de consecuencias imprevisibles.

About the Author

Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Líbano, 1960) ha dedicado su vida a estudiar los problemas de la suerte, la incertidumbre, la probabilidad y el conocimiento. Ensayista, investigador y financiero, es miembro del Instituto de Ciencias Matemáticas dela Universidad de Nueva York y profesor de Ciencias dela Incertidumbre en la Universidad de Massachusetts y en la London Business School. Sus dos libros, ¿Existe la suerte? y El cisne negro, se han convertido en éxitos internacionales.

Product details

  • Publisher ‏ : ‎ Booket (September 4, 2012)
  • Language ‏ : ‎ Spanish
  • Mass Market Paperback ‏ : ‎ 592 pages
  • ISBN-10 ‏ : ‎ 8408008544
  • ISBN-13 ‏ : ‎ 978-8408008545
  • Item Weight ‏ : ‎ 13.2 ounces
  • Dimensions ‏ : ‎ 4.92 x 1.18 x 7.48 inches
  • Customer Reviews:
    4.5 4.5 out of 5 stars 1,010 ratings

About the author

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent more than two decades as a risk taker before becoming a full-time essayist and scholar focusing on practical, philosophical, and mathematical problems with chance, luck, and probability. His focus in on how different systems handle disorder.

He now spends most of his time in the intense seclusion of his study, or as a flâneur meditating in cafés. In addition to his life as a trader he spent several years as an academic researcher (12 years as Distinguished Professor at New York University's School of Engineering, Dean's Professor at U. Mass Amherst).

He is the author of the Incerto (latin for uncertainty), accessible in any order (Skin in the Game, Antifragile, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, and Fooled by Randomness) plus a technical version, The Technical Incerto (Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails). Taleb has also published close to 55 academic and scholarly papers as a backup, technical footnotes to the Incerto in topics ranging from Statistical Physics and Quantitative Finance to Genetics and International affairs. The Incerto has more than 250 translations in 50 languages.

Taleb believes that prizes, honorary degrees, awards, and ceremonialism debase knowledge by turning it into a spectator sport.

""Imagine someone with the erudition of Pico de la Mirandola, the skepticism of Montaigne, solid mathematical training, a restless globetrotter, polyglot, enjoyer of fine wines, specialist of financial derivatives, irrepressible reader, and irascible to the point of readily slapping a disciple." La Tribune (Paris)

A giant of Mediterranean thought ... Now the hottest thinker in the world", London Times

"The most prophetic voice of all" GQ

Customer reviews

4.5 out of 5 stars
4.5 out of 5
1,010 global ratings

Top reviews from the United States

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Raul
5.0 out of 5 stars Una vision diferente y alternativa de la realidad
Reviewed in the United States on January 10, 2017
Verified Purchase
En lo personal, siempre busco libros que mas que confirmar mis puntos de vista, los confronten y me ayuden a formarme una vision diferente del mundo. Este libro definitivamente lo logra.
Su vision del mundo es interesantísima y poco convencional. Eso si es un libro denso y puede resultar pesado de llevar, pero vale la pena el intento. P.D. El agregado que se hace a la edición original se me hizo pesado de llevar y no tiene para mi gusto el mismo nivel.
5 people found this helpful
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jose manuel
5.0 out of 5 stars This one of the best book I have reading
Reviewed in the United States on November 23, 2021
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If you wanna open your mind and get critical think you have to read this book
One person found this helpful
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James Ericson Lozada Diaz
4.0 out of 5 stars Libro de Reflexión
Reviewed in the United States on October 15, 2019
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La importancia de prestarle atención a la aleatoriedad que envuelve todos los aspectos de la vida.
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Amaranto
5.0 out of 5 stars Clásico
Reviewed in the United States on July 13, 2021
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Un clásico contemporáneo que causa ruido, trastorna a los cómodos, ayuda a los miopes (todos nosotros) y alegra a los espíritus críticos.
One person found this helpful
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Cliente de Kindle
5.0 out of 5 stars Revolucionario
Reviewed in the United States on August 13, 2020
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Una nueva forma de ver el mundo que nos rodea.
Hay que tener la mente abierta para leer el libro hasta el final. Rompe con muchos esquemas teóricos impartidos en las universidades.
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ileana cossa
3.0 out of 5 stars No me aportó como esperaba, descepcionada.
Reviewed in the United States on August 3, 2020
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Si bien enocntré algunos conceptos interesantes, me cansó la narrativa, poco interesante,repleta y reiterativa en descalificaciones hacia la gente que hace investigación o tienes postgrados ( estúpidos, tontos, etc). Me suena mucho a alguien resentido que encontró un segmento para poder trascender. Más allá del planteo concreto de la existencia de Cisnes Negros, no me aportó.
2 people found this helpful
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CARLOS ARMANDO RODRIGUEZ MAYA
5.0 out of 5 stars Libro de pensamiento. Es para leerlo en etapas
Reviewed in the United States on August 10, 2020
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Me gusto el nuevo enfoque del libro . Me tarde en leerlo pues a pesar de ser i Teresa te hay temas muy difíciles de digerir
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Fernando Griebenow
5.0 out of 5 stars Sobresaliente
Reviewed in the United States on January 13, 2019
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Cuestiona con argumentos sólidos lo estudiado sobre métodos matemáticos y estadísticos y su utilidad para predecir en determinados campos. Los conceptos vertidos son útiles no solo para el ámbito de los negocios, sino para la vida diaria.
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Patricia
5.0 out of 5 stars Interesante
Reviewed in Mexico on July 6, 2023
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Libro recomendable, esta muy interesante
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Marta
5.0 out of 5 stars Molt interessant
Reviewed in Spain on February 9, 2024
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Molt bé
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Lector
4.0 out of 5 stars good book
Reviewed in Germany on January 26, 2016
Verified Purchase
A really good which explains a lot of surprises in story. We have always been taught by historians that everything that has happened was "unavoidable", like the I World War, and then Taleb explains that nobody bought state bonds for weapon just before the war, which demonstrates that no men was expecting it. At the ends it becomes a little more complicated to read, due to statistical explanations, but the book was good
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Jose luis melendez
5.0 out of 5 stars Cisnes negros
Reviewed in Mexico on April 10, 2024
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Narraciones de multi opinión y reflexión
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Davide
5.0 out of 5 stars Leído y reeleido
Reviewed in Spain on November 3, 2022
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Desde que lo compré hace años, lo he reeleido varias veces. Aunque el autor puede parecer un poco soberbio, dice las cosas como son guste o no.
Lo tengo subrallado y marcadas las páginas más importantes para mí.
Un acierto el haberlo comprado.
4 people found this helpful
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